However, some critics believe that very few samples are taken for exit polls. From this, the victory of the candidate in the election can not be accurately estimated. However, it is done on the basis of a very scientific method. Fixed samples are taken on all assembly seats. That is, it is decided in advance how many samples to take from an assembly seat or how many people to ask whom you have voted for. A sample of 200 to 300 from an assembly constituency is considered a good exit poll. The agency's analysts look at the finer details to arrive at the final decision of the exit polls. Many factors determine which candidate has a chance of winning from a seat. However, there is always scope for margin. Exit polls are banned during elections in India, so exit polls are broadcast on the last day of the election.
Are exit polls different from opinion polls?
Yes, exit polls are different from opinion polls. Opinion polls are conducted before elections. In this, people's opinion is taken as to whose wind is blowing. Those who express their opinion may or may not vote. Therefore, his mind can also change while going to the polling station. On the other hand, the side they have an opinion may not actually be correct. On the other hand, voters who come out by voting in exit polls are only asked to give their opinion about who you voted for. There is very little chance of error in this.
When did the exit polls start?
In India, the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) started conducting exit polls in the 1960s. Rajni Kothari is considered to be the country's first sappologist. However, according to western media, exit polls started in Denver, USA in 1940.
Know about exit polls
After casting his vote, when the voter comes out of the polling station, he is asked which party he voted for and this survey is called exit poll. Basically, it acts as an indicator of which party will form the government. We can say that opinion polls ask about the voter's plans and exit polls ask who the voter actually voted for. Both these surveys show in which direction the country is going, but there are many instances when exit poll predictions have turned out to be wrong, because people sometimes lie. However, the credibility of the accuracy of exit polls has been a matter of debate. According to experts, they are not accurate, but provide a broader trend and sense of direction about the mood of the nation. In the past, there have been instances when exit polls have failed to capture the mood of voters. Therefore, it is concluded that exit polls often present a broader picture of election results than the final results after counting of votes, but still they are very different from the results.
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